The Hype machine
It’s easy to understand why most people believed this internet thing was a bit of a hoax. After a major amount of hype in the mid 1990’s (when most normal people connected to the internet) we were showered in promises of an impending technology utopia. You’d be able to press a button and order the shirt your favourite actor was wearing on TV. You’d be able get a coffee delivered to your door in 5 minutes through Kozmo. A whole heap of ideas, many of which are now happening were not delivered upon, then. The ideas and concepts were simply well ahead of the technology curve. It took us a good 20 years to build the tools of possibility. It was in many ways, like the flying car promises provided in the 1950’s. And after the dot com bust in 2000, the naysayers got their wish, and went back to business as usual. They had their ‘I told you so’ moment of vindication, even if it was temporary. The same people missed most of the opportunity in the next phase of the social web and the amazing growth and disruption that went with it. Some got powerful industries got marginalized, some went out of business for ever.
This ain’t no sideshow
Turns out though, that this web thing wasn’t some kind of sideshow. It’s the main play. And if anyone out there has any doubts about how big this economic shift is, here are 2 simple hard nosed economic facts that tell the story so far:
1. Half of the Fortune 500 companies have been replaced by tech companies in the past 10 years.
2. The top 10 dot com companies in the USA stock exchanges alone have a market capitalization of over $1.5 trillion.
So now that we are 20 years or so deep into this internet thing what have we got at our disposal?
– The world’s information on demand (search)
– Free connectedness to anyone we’ve ever met
– The world’s maps and streets on demand
– Global video content & TV channels on demand
– The worlds music streamed on demand
– Self publishing platforms to give us a voice
– Free language translation in any format
– More than 4 million factories at our disposal to make whatever we please
– The worlds most accurate and up to date encyclopaedia on demand
– Nasa in our pocket (yes, that smart phone is better than Nasa circa 1985)
– Free video telephony
– Free plug and play e-commerce platforms
– Emerging disruptive banking and finance platforms
– (insert your favourite web technology here)
We really do have access to date and services that beyond that of royalty just a generation ago. Have a quick look at your desktop or smart phone to the apps you use daily and you’ll see that most of these life changing services didn’t exist just 10 years ago. This is very, very different to the industrial world (culture and commerce) that we have lived in for the past 200 years. Everything is up for grabs, but what is vital, is that we create an environment where it can be obtained. And increasingly, large parts of this requirement are falling upon our governments. And I don’t mean the government creating the services, but providing the infrastructure and policy which is suited to a technology driven economy. It’s time for the Australian Government in particular to step up.
A government with its head in the sand
The Australian Government via the ATO recently released a 11 point policy guidance on how it sees crypto currency bitcoin. This is a good simple summary of it here. I was absolutely flummoxed to read that the ATO has ruled that bitcoin is not a currency. Well, if it has four legs and barks, it is probably a dog. And that is exactly the point with the technology revolution we are living through. It doesn’t matter what people say or want, the technology has its own agenda, and much of it is borderless. It can’t be contained or controlled by a government. Yet, at this point many of the policies we are doing business under are an outdated relic of the industrial era. We have countless regulatory examples of old world thinking, from the NBN, to Renewable Energy Targets, to Copyright Law, you name it. And this attitude is increasingly stifling the potential for economic and jobs growth – which also happen to be, ironically, the Government’s two favourite things. They need to start governing for the world we are in, rather than one they want to concoct.
Two types of Government policy
There are essentially two types of government policy related to technology.
(A) Those which are designed to protect consumers.
(B) Those which are designed to protect industries.
The latter of the two is invalid. And the reason they are invalid is that we entering an era of technology which is pan global. Innovations can’t be contained in a country, and it is often impossible to determine where the transaction takes place. In these cases all the innovation and associated revenue will go overseas when false boundaries are erected. Our government is stifling the very economic growth engines of tomorrow with a protectionist attitude. Instead of saving the jobs of today, they’d be far better off facilitating the growth of the jobs of tomorrow. I often wonder what could have been achieved with the $550 million per year (over the past 6 years) the government invested in Australian car manufacturing (who are all now leaving the country anyway) was redirected into new industries like 3D printing, internet of things technology or drone development? In fact, any kind of startup eco system at all would benefit so greatly from such an investment we’d reap benefits for generations.
So it’s up to us
Everything is changing around us is changing forever. Our infrastructure is being redesigned, for the new world. While our government continues to flounder we need local entrepreneurs who are willing to push the boundaries regardless of the regulations and the lack of support from those who are meant to be representing us. It means as entrepreneurs, we need to take risk that are beyond financial, and possibly even regulatory. Yes, pushing legal boundaries to force the future which is inevitable. We know for sure the only way our government will recognise the change is when it is too late, so it’s up to us. We need to step up and fill the void to create the future we know is coming. They won’t change without an uprising of sorts – so let’s rise together.
Featured image source: Sean MacEntee
I’m on board and promoting the change and the shift in mentality every chance I get.
We need to get more efficient, effective and decentralised not stuck in the middle, more populated and more congested.
Spot on Steve. I believe though that Govt’ is starting to get the idea.
In Qld they’re starting to engage at a grass roots level through DSITIA by sending reps to observe startup activities being introduced by local startup evangelists which is a start and hopefully the no talk all action of Startup Weekends will rub off.
It’s up to all of us on a local level to push hard so we can effect a bottom up change to get the top to look down and recognise whats required.
I take heart from the recent Draft Report of the Australian Competition Policy Review, that challenges market structures (and protectionism) – covering everything from access to public infrastructure assets, to taxi-sharing services; from lifting the ban on parallel imports to ending restrictive IP licensing practices.
However, I am also perplexed by how slow ASIC and the ATO are in waking up to the challenges/opportunities afforded by startups and employee share schemes, crowd-funding and the shared economy.
In addition, we have one of the best “incubators” in the world in CSIRO, yet the government is cutting its modest funding; and despite over $1.4tn in superannuation assets, nobody seems to be connecting these funds with innovative startups.
(I have blogged about these topics over recent months – http://contentincontext.me)
Yes, we can push to do it ourselves, but I would prefer to see some positive policy settings and an orderly market, not some wild west every-person-for-what-they-can-get-out-of-it-for-themselves mentality.
Another awesome article Steve. Great job with in depth and consistent blogs (the consistency aspect can be extremely challenging!)
The legislation passed on bitcoin is nuts (10% GST!! Really?!) and spot on, it will be up to the private sector (entrepreneurs) to drive the change. I suppose that has always been my expectation so the closed mindedness and tunnel vision of the government on most things disappoints, but does not surprise.
The R & D grants they make available are at least one thing they do right. I think their data shows that they have an ROI of 800% for every dollar they spend in that scheme. If only they applied those lessons to the bigger picture…